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May
21

Canes Face Stiff Odds

With tonight’s loss, the Carolina Hurricanes fall to a 0-2 deficit in the series with the Pittsburgh Penguins. While I feel great about the Canes chances to win at least one game, (especially considering the goaltender they are facing), it is hard to feel confident about the series now.

The Canes have carried good/excellent D and good O into the series. Pittsburgh has fair D, but outstanding O. The real question is: can the Canes’ D shut down the Pens’ O? If the Canes can, then they can climb back into this series. Unfortunately, only 11% of the teams in this position have actually won the series . These are some incredible odds we’re facing, folks.

  • Kevin

    I know we love stats, but I don’t think it’s that cut and dry. So the data is based on 56 team meetings, where 50 of 56, the down team lost the series. How many of those encounters did the losing team have very little chance to begin with? Say the series ended in 4 or 5 games?

    If you take our regular season encounters with Pittsburgh (4-4) and extrapolate that we’re an even match, then you may say our odds are better. Win two at home and we’re tied. Unfortunately, as the web page also points out, if you each team is evenly matched, and each team has equal probability to win each game, then we’re stuck with slightly better but lousy odds of 18.75% of winning the 4 of the next 5.

    Following the Hurricanes I always get that feeling that our luck has run out, but they seem to pull through anyway. I’m hoping that the luck isn’t out and we pull one out of rear ends. It’s been fun regardless.

    No matter what, we need to make the RBC Center deafening loud and let the team know we appreciate the run.

    Go ‘Canes!

    In other news, the ‘Canes are back in black this season: http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/story/?id=279615 I hear that’s more than Bob Johnson can say.

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